Non-​​nuclear, hydro­gen gas explo­sion at the Fukushima nuclear power plant releases radioac­tiv­ity into the atmos­phere. Source: time​.com

Many peo­ple are con­cerned about pos­si­ble expo­sure to radi­a­tion as a result of a poten­tial melt­down in the Fukushima reactors.

I’ve only got time for a quick cut here, and will say more in the com­ments below if asked, but I wanted to point every­one to an excel­lent blog post by Gia Mili­novich which explains some of the sci­en­tific issues involved:

From her Twit­ter feed (@giagia):

By me. What is radi­a­tion: http://​bit​.ly/​d​Z​P​Y5v The phys­i­cal effects of radi­a­tion: http://​bit​.ly/​h​w​X​AH5 Max lev­els in Japan: 12 mil­lisiev­erts

I espe­cially like her “Kylie Minogue vs. Mike Tyson” analogy.

A more for­mal expla­na­tion spe­cific to the Fukushima acci­dent is found in this Nature arti­cle.

Most of the health effects will be from iodine-​​131 (131I), a radioac­tive iso­tope of iodine that is cre­ated as a byprod­uct of nuclear fission.

Other iso­topes cre­ated by nuclear reac­tors are not as wor­ri­some for the envi­ron­ment. For exam­ple, tri­tium (3H, radioac­tive hydro­gen) has a half-​​life of 13 years. By con­ven­tion, we say some­thing stays in the envi­ron­ment for 10 half-​​lives so that the radioac­tiv­ity is reduced by 1210 or less than 11000 of its start­ing amount, so tri­tium “stays in the envi­ron­ment” for about 130 years; but there is a lot of non-​​radioactive hydro­gen in water that dilutes out the radioac­tive hydro­gen and ren­ders it pretty much harm­less. Radioac­tive nitro­gen (16N) is pro­duced in large quan­ti­ties but decays quickly to non-​​radioactive oxygen.

131I is both rel­a­tively long-​​lived and rare in the ter­res­trial envi­ron­ment. This means that it’s not diluted out by other “cold” atoms. There is a lot of iodine in the oceans, so if the pre­vail­ing winds and weather take the radioac­tive iodine into the Pacific Ocean, it will have min­i­mal effects on the envi­ron­ment. If it blows back towards heav­ily pop­u­lated land (such as Tokyo), there’s a much larger problem.

What’s worse, 131I con­cen­trates in the thy­roid gland. Most other iso­topes will dis­trib­ute them­selves evenly through the body, reduc­ing the dam­age caused by radioac­tive decay.

The tech­ni­cally minded here might like to read this report.

Even in a much, much larger acci­dent such as Cher­nobyl, there is a small but mea­sur­able increased inci­dence of thy­roid can­cer espe­cially in chil­dren. If you’re wor­ried, stock up on potas­sium iodide pills.