Ron Paul’s Secret Victories
Who won Colorado and Minnesota this week? If you look at the tallies of caucus votes, the answer is “Rick Santorum”. But those two states have non-binding caucuses, so the answer may not be as obvious as it seems. There are two separate, but loosely-related activities at play here.
In terms of the momentum story, which drives much of the discussion in the media, the caucus votes are the ones that matter. Santorum won that story.
But there’s a second story, one that is much quieter, but more meaningful in terms of the ultimate nomination.
After the voting in the Colorado caucuses was done, most of those who voted walked out, believing their job done. But Representative Ron Paul (R-Lake Jackson, TX) trained his caucusers. You see, Colorado is a non-binding caucus state, meaning that the delegates do not have to be allocated based on the vote share.
How do the national convention delegates get allocated? At the precinct level, precinct delegates are elected after the initial vote. Those precinct delegates typically meet at a county level, where county delegates are elected to attend the state convention…where the national delegates are elected. This means that, at each level, it’s possible to alter the allocation.
At precincts throughout Colorado, Santorum was getting about half of the votes, but Paul was walking away with all of the delegates. This puts Santorum (and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney) at a serious disadvantage when the national delegates get selected.
The same thing is happening in Minnesota. Maine, too, where he expects to end up with more delegates than Romney, despite losing the popular caucus vote. And Paul intends to do it in every non-binding state. It’s as if he were collecting faithless electors in the Electoral College, as a means of turning a loss on election day into an inauguration in January.
It’s just crazy enough that it might work.
- Ron Paul’s Fuzzy Delegate Math (thestreet.com)
- Primary Caucuses: Colorado and Minnesota (logarchism.com)
- Ron Paul Winning Delegates !!! (teapartywpbfl.wordpress.com)
- Is Paul’s Plan Working? Ctd (andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com)
- Ron Paul Caucus Strategy Looks Up From Inside (huffingtonpost.com)
- Paul Campaign: We’re Winning The Battle For Delegates (disclose.tv)