Archive for April 3, 2012
Today looks like it’s shaping up to be a very good day for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Perhaps his campaign has managed to shake the Etch-A-Sketch meme.
Two states, plus our sole district, vote today: Maryland, Wisconsin, and the District of Columbia.
Maryland has 37 delegates up for grabs in a closed primary. Three are the usual assigned to the party, ten are at-large winner-take-all, and the remaining 24 are Congressional district winner-take-all.
Romney is assured to get the three party delegates and the ten at-large delegates. He’s also pretty much assured to get all but maybe three of the 24 districts. The panhandle is former Senator Rick Santorum’s (R-PA) strongest territory, and he may pick up one or two districts over there, which would translate to three or six delegates*.
Wisconsin has 42 delegates available in an open primary. Aside from the three party delegates, there are 15 at-large winner-take-all, and 24 Congressional district winner-take-all delegates.
As in Maryland, there’s little doubt that Romney will take the party and at-large delegates, given his near-double-digit lead over Santorum in all polls. But Santorum may be able to pick off a better ratio of the district delegates than he can in Maryland. Even so, Wisconsin can be expected to increase Romney’s delegate lead over the former Senator.
The District of Columbia has 19 delegates in a closed primary. There are the three party delegates, plus 16 winner-take-all. One party delegate has already been assigned to Romney.
This one’s a real snoozer. Romney will walk away with all 19 delegates, period.
So, yes, today’s a very good day for Romney. And a very bad day for those who have been hoping that something, anything, will keep the increasingly inevitable Romination from coming to pass.
*Note: in an earlier version of the article, I incorrectly stated that Santorum might win one or two delegates. In fact, since each district has three winner-take-all delegates, Santorum would either get three or zero for each district.
- Romney, Santorum focus on Wisconsin ahead of Tuesday primaries (politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com)
- Romney Could Double Up on Tuesday (thewesternexperience.com)
- What to Watch in Wisconsin (thedailybeast.com)
- Battle of addition: 147 days until GOP convention (politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com)
- Romney’s Path to Nomination Runs Through Wisconsin (usnews.com)
- Mitt Romney predicts Wisconsin primary win (thehill.com)
- Mitt Romney sings ‘On, Wisconsin’ toward next primary vote (csmonitor.com)
- Romney Looks For Knockout Punch (npr.org)
- Rick Santorum says losing Wisconsin could be good news, vows to continue regardless of outcome (dailykos.com)
- Analysis: Uncertain Week Ahead For Rick Santorum (philadelphia.cbslocal.com)
- Romney Looks For Knock Out Punch (npr.org)