Pres­i­dent Obama faces a stiff head­wind for re-​​election.

Syria seems to be headed toward full-​​scale civil war. Egypt’s mil­i­tary rulers are tak­ing over as the country’s high­est court dis­solves par­lia­ment. Pres­i­dent Obama either thinks the pri­vate sec­tor is “doing fine” or it’s not, depend­ing on who you ask. Nate Sil­ver gives the Pres­i­dent a 64 per­cent chance of re-​​election.

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