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	<title>Comments on: Senate Watch: October 9</title>
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	<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/</link>
	<description>Governing through Reason</description>
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		<title>By: Logarchism &#187; Senate Watch: October 15</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43689</link>
		<dc:creator>Logarchism &#187; Senate Watch: October 15</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Oct 2012 14:13:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43689</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[[...] Sen­ate Watch: Octo­ber 9      United States Senate [...]]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[…] Sen­ate Watch: Octo­ber 9      United States Senate […]</p>
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		<title>By: dcpetterson</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43130</link>
		<dc:creator>dcpetterson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 03:49:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43130</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt; Tester again, seemed to fall back on the “we need to work together” line that so called mod­er­ates use alot. &lt;br&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;Mygod. He sounds just like Romney last Wednesday night.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p> Tester again, seemed to fall back on the “we need to work together” line that so called mod­er­ates use alot. </p></blockquote>
<p>Mygod. He sounds just like Romney last Wednesday night.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Weiss</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43128</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Weiss</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 02:59:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43128</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[rgbact,
&lt;blockquote&gt;Rehberg seems to think so&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Well, yeah. Show me a candidate who doesn&#039;t seem to think that his/her competitor isn&#039;t out of step ideologically with constituents.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>rgbact,</p>
<blockquote><p>Rehberg seems to think so</p></blockquote>
<p>Well, yeah. Show me a candidate who doesn’t seem to think that his/her competitor isn’t out of step ideologically with constituents.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Weiss</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43126</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Weiss</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 02:54:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43126</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[cc,
Pew did so over a month ago. Their &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/09-19-12%20Political%20release.pdf&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;poll from early September&lt;/a&gt; was a LV poll. They show a 12-point swing to the right in the past month, but I think they were too far to the left a month ago, having been about four points to the left of the consensus.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>cc,<br />
Pew did so over a month ago. Their <a href="http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/09-19-12%20Political%20release.pdf" rel="nofollow">poll from early September</a> was a LV poll. They show a 12-point swing to the right in the past month, but I think they were too far to the left a month ago, having been about four points to the left of the consensus.</p>
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		<title>By: rgbact</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43124</link>
		<dc:creator>rgbact</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 02:40:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;br&gt;&lt;i&gt;I’m not so sure that Tester is out of step ide­o­log­i­cally with Mon­tanans;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Well, Rehberg seems to think so, as he had a more partisan delivery. He did take pretty strong stances on the estate tax, Simpson Bowles, and the flat tax. Tester again, seemed to fall back on the &quot;we need to work together&quot; line that so called moderates use alot. I don&#039;t recall many hard policy stances---except one on wolves. Anyway, like Liz Warren (and unlike Akin), I think Rehberg passed the &quot;is he senate material&quot; test---which is key for any challenger.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt; &lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><i>I’m not so sure that Tester is out of step ide­o­log­i­cally with Mon­tanans;</i></p>
<p>Well, Rehberg seems to think so, as he had a more partisan delivery. He did take pretty strong stances on the estate tax, Simpson Bowles, and the flat tax. Tester again, seemed to fall back on the “we need to work together” line that so called moderates use alot. I don’t recall many hard policy stances—except one on wolves. Anyway, like Liz Warren (and unlike Akin), I think Rehberg passed the “is he senate material” test—which is key for any challenger.</p>
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		<title>By: channelclemente</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43120</link>
		<dc:creator>channelclemente</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 01:44:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43120</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Michael,&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;br&gt;I&#039;ll answer here the question from the other previous blog entry. &#160;Comment is still fritzed up.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Pew has apparently switch from registered to likely voters from what was said on PBS Newshour last night by their rep.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael,
</p>
<p>I’ll answer here the question from the other previous blog entry.  Comment is still fritzed up.</p>
<p>Pew has apparently switch from registered to likely voters from what was said on PBS Newshour last night by their rep.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Weiss</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43118</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Weiss</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 00:09:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43118</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[cc,
&lt;blockquote&gt;For­mat­ting is messed up in the pre­ced­ing topic sec­tion.  The bot­tom ban­ner obscures access to post button.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
I&#039;ve seen that from time to time, but not consistently enough to debug the problem.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>cc,</p>
<blockquote><p>For­mat­ting is messed up in the pre­ced­ing topic sec­tion.  The bot­tom ban­ner obscures access to post button.</p></blockquote>
<p>I’ve seen that from time to time, but not consistently enough to debug the problem.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Weiss</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43116</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Weiss</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 00:06:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43116</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[cc,
&lt;blockquote&gt;What’s a bit per­plex­ing about a lot of the polling data, at least as cap­tured on 538, is that the ker­fuf­fle between Obama Rom­ney doesn’t seem to changed the Sen­ate trend line much there.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
I noticed the same thing. It appeared that Obama&#039;s coattails were pulling up other Democratic Senate candidates. Perhaps it was less the candidate himself than the messages of the two national conventions.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>cc,</p>
<blockquote><p>What’s a bit per­plex­ing about a lot of the polling data, at least as cap­tured on 538, is that the ker­fuf­fle between Obama Rom­ney doesn’t seem to changed the Sen­ate trend line much there.</p></blockquote>
<p>I noticed the same thing. It appeared that Obama’s coattails were pulling up other Democratic Senate candidates. Perhaps it was less the candidate himself than the messages of the two national conventions.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Weiss</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43115</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Weiss</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Oct 2012 00:05:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43115</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[rgbact,
&lt;blockquote&gt;Incum­bent Chris Mur­phy?&lt;/blockquote&gt;
:oops: Thanks for catching that. My error rate has been on the rise lately as I&#039;ve been trying to keep up with the data and still have time to keep my day job.
&lt;blockquote&gt;Rehberg and Tester debated last night.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Yes they did. I found out about it after I had put the article (and myself) to bed. I&#039;m not so sure that Tester is out of step ideologically with Montanans; the story there is more complex than in other states, as Montana is more of the libertarian sort than the socon sort.
&lt;blockquote&gt;RCP has 11 tossups!&lt;/blockquote&gt;
They do. I think their tossup band is way too large for being this late in the race.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>rgbact,</p>
<blockquote><p>Incum­bent Chris Mur­phy?</p></blockquote>
<p> <img src='http://www.logarchism.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_redface.gif' alt=':oops:' class='wp-smiley' />  Thanks for catching that. My error rate has been on the rise lately as I’ve been trying to keep up with the data and still have time to keep my day job.</p>
<blockquote><p>Rehberg and Tester debated last night.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes they did. I found out about it after I had put the article (and myself) to bed. I’m not so sure that Tester is out of step ideologically with Montanans; the story there is more complex than in other states, as Montana is more of the libertarian sort than the socon sort.</p>
<blockquote><p>RCP has 11 tossups!</p></blockquote>
<p>They do. I think their tossup band is way too large for being this late in the race.</p>
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		<title>By: channelclemente</title>
		<link>http://www.logarchism.com/2012/10/09/senate-watch-october-9/comment-page-1/#comment-43108</link>
		<dc:creator>channelclemente</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Oct 2012 22:23:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.logarchism.com/?p=20315#comment-43108</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Gallups new daily tracking comparing registered and likely voters shows the same bias toward likely. &#160;It&#039;s about a 7 point flip.&lt;p&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;br&gt;Formatting&#160;is messed up in the preceding topic section. &#160;The bottom banner obscures access to post button.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br&gt;]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gallups new daily tracking comparing registered and likely voters shows the same bias toward likely.  It’s about a 7 point flip.
</p>
<p>Formatting is messed up in the preceding topic section.  The bottom banner obscures access to post button.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx" rel="nofollow">http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx</a></p>
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