Posts tagged 2012 Presidential Election

Reëlection Watch: June 2, 2012

15
11 months ago
by Michael Weiss in

It’s been a more active past two weeks than one might pre­vi­ously have thought.

So, how are things going for the Pres­i­dent lately?

(more…)

Reëlection Watch: May 19, 2012

23
1 year ago
by Michael Weiss in

Today marks the sec­ond semi-​​monthly edi­tion of Reëlec­tion Watch. This time, I’m going to show another model on hand­i­cap­ping the race, using the Cook Par­ti­san Vot­ing Index (PVI).

So, how are things going for the Pres­i­dent lately?

(more…)

No, No Puede

20
1 year ago
by Monotreme in

Dur­ing the 2008 elec­tion cam­paign, then-​​Senator Barack Obama adopted a Span­ish lan­guage slo­gan that was co-​​opted from Cesar Chavez and the United Farm Work­ers: “¡Sí se puede!” which roughly trans­lated means the same as his Eng­lish slo­gan: “Yes, We Can!”

Let’s exam­ine the state of play (estado de juego) for the His­panic vote in the 2012 Pres­i­den­tial elec­tion.

In 2008, 67 per­cent of the His­panic vote went to Sen­a­tor Obama, while 31 per­cent went to Sen­a­tor John McCain. This mar­gin in the His­panic vote helped Obama win the bat­tle­ground states of Nevada, Col­orado and New Mex­ico. (more…)

Reëlection Watch: May 3, 2012

31
1 year ago
by Michael Weiss in

We’ve been run­ning these for sev­eral months now. Now that the elec­tion is shift­ing gears and focus­ing on the two can­di­dates, it’s time to shake things up a bit.

First, Reëlec­tion Watch is shift­ing to a twice-​​monthly sched­ule. Sec­ond, some of the sec­tions we had in pre­vi­ous ver­sions are being elim­i­nated or con­sol­i­dated. And third, I’m zoom­ing in more on the bat­tle­ground states, since that’s where the action will be.

So, how are things going for the Pres­i­dent lately?

(more…)

Reëlection Watch: April 2012

23
1 year ago
by Michael Weiss in

At least once every month between now and the gen­eral elec­tion, we exam­ine the reëlec­tion land­scape for Pres­i­dent Barack Obama. Each time, we take a look at the var­i­ous fac­tors that typ­i­cally influ­ence elec­tion out­comes, and com­pare them to the pre­vi­ous month.

So, how are things going for the Pres­i­dent this month?

(more…)

Reëlection Watch: March 2012

25
1 year ago
by Michael Weiss in

At least once every month between now and the gen­eral elec­tion, we exam­ine the reëlec­tion land­scape for Pres­i­dent Barack Obama. Each time, we take a look at the var­i­ous fac­tors that typ­i­cally influ­ence elec­tion out­comes, and com­pare them to the pre­vi­ous month.

So, how are things going for the Pres­i­dent? This month’s answer may sur­prise you.

(more…)

Go to Top