Posts tagged Mitch Daniels

Talking Heads August 21

117
1 year ago
by Logarchism.com in

Talk show day is upon us again. This week is the first in a while with­out an over­ar­ch­ing theme, now that the national debt isn’t daily con­ver­sa­tion, and Ames is behind us. Inter­est­ingly, Texas Gov­er­nor Rick Perry is nowhere to be found, a mere week after announc­ing his entry to the race. Accord­ing to Politico, here’s the lineup for this week:

David Axel­rod appears on two shows this week.

Meet the Press (NBC) — Obama Admin­is­tra­tion for­mer Press Sec­re­tary Robert Gibbs; Indiana’s Repub­li­can Gov­er­nor and non-​​Presidential-​​candidate Mitch Daniels.

This Week (ABC) — Obama cam­paign adviser and top polit­i­cal strate­gist David Axel­rod, fol­lowed by for­mer Utah Gov­er­nor and for­mer Obama Admin­is­tra­tion ambas­sador to China—and cur­rent Pres­i­den­tial candidate—Jon Huntsman.

Face the Nation (CBS) — For­mer Pres­i­den­tial can­di­date and cur­rent Ari­zona Sen­a­tor John McCain; for­mer Repub­li­can National Chair­man Ed Gille­spie; for­mer Demo­c­ra­tic National Chair­man Terry McAuliffe.

State of the Union (CNN) — Axel­rod appears here as well, along with Mary­land Gov­er­nor and chair­man of the Demo­c­ra­tic Gov­er­nors Asso­ci­a­tion Mar­tin O’Malley; also the chair­man of the Repub­li­can Gov­er­nors Asso­ci­a­tion, Vir­ginia Gov­er­nor Bob McDon­nell (rumored to be a poten­tial pick for Vice Pres­i­dent); also Demo­c­ra­tic Rep­re­sen­ta­tive Eli­jah Cum­mings, a mem­ber of the Con­gres­sional Black Cau­cus, expected to talk about Pres­i­dent Obama’s rela­tion­ship with black leaders.

Arne Dun­can gets two spots this week as well.

Fox News Sun­day — It’s “for­mer” week on Fox: polit­i­cal strate­gist and for­mer White House deputy chief of staff for the Bush Admin­is­tra­tion Karl Rove; for­mer White House deputy press sec­re­tary for Pres­i­dent Obama, Bill Bur­ton; and Pres­i­den­tial can­di­date and for­mer Penn­syl­va­nia Sen­a­tor Rick Santorum.

News­mak­ers (CSPAN) — Obama Admin­is­tra­tion Edu­ca­tion Sec­re­tary Arne Dun­can is inter­viewed by Alyson Klein from Edu­ca­tion Week and USA Today’s Greg Toppo.

Polit­i­cal Cap­i­tal (Bloomberg TV) — Dun­can appears here, too.

My Fallow Republicans

18
1 year ago
by Monotreme in

Peri­od­i­cally, we’ll give a quick run­down of the Repub­li­can field for the 2012 Pres­i­den­tial nomination.

This week saw two prospec­tive candidates—former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huck­abee and Short-​​Fingered Vul­gar­ian Don­ald Trump—decline to run. They join Mis­sis­sippi Gov­er­nor Haley Bar­bour in the dust­bin of Repub­li­can pri­mary history.

The most recent reli­able poll was done by Pub­lic Pol­icy Polling (PPP) and released May 11. In head-​​to-​​head matchups, Pres­i­dent Obama out­paced all poten­tial Repub­li­can rivals by mar­gins rang­ing from +5% (Obama minus Rom­ney) to +18% (Obama minus Trump). Pres­i­dent Obama’s polling “floor” (that is, those peo­ple who say they would vote for Pauly the Platy­pus over Obama) is prob­a­bly about 33% based on these polling data; even against the weak­est can­di­dates in the Repub­li­can field, Pres­i­dent Obama can­not get much higher than sup­port in the mid-​​50s.

Addi­tion­ally, Nate Sil­ver pub­lished a com­pre­hen­sive run­down on his New York Times blog. At the time he crunched the polling num­bers, both Huck­abee and Trump were still in the race. I’ve adjusted his num­bers by dis­trib­ut­ing the Huck­abee, Trump and “other” vot­ers over the field of 11 most likely can­di­dates. Those are marked “NS” below, with the addi­tional des­ig­na­tor depend­ing on which model is used: NSC for the “clas­si­cal” model, and NSA for the “aggres­sive” model. I’ve rounded to the near­est whole number.

I’ve also gath­ered Wednes­day May 18 Intrade prob­a­bil­i­ties for each can­di­date, rounded to the near­est whole number.

I’ll list the poten­tial Repub­li­can can­di­dates after the jump, in order of their Intrade per­cent­ages, from high­est to low­est. In each case, the polling num­bers are given in paren­the­ses after the candidate’s name:

  • PPP = the May 11 PPP poll
  • TPM = Talk­ing Points Memo esti­mated polling averages
  • RCP = the most recent avail­able Real Clear Pol­i­tics aggre­gated polling data.
  • NSC = Nate Silver’s “clas­si­cal” model
  • NSA = Nate Silver’s “aggres­sive” model
  • In = Intrade Wednes­day May 18

(more…)

CPAC Straw Poll

0
2 years ago
by Monotreme in

Straight or Bendy?

CPAC Straw Poll results are out

Ron Paul – 30%
Mitt Rom­ney – 23%
Gary John­son – 6%
Chris Christie – 6%
Newt Gin­grich – 5%
Tim Paw­lenty – 4%
Michele Bach­mann – 4%
Mitch Daniels – 4%
Sarah Palin – 3%
Her­man Cain – 2%
Mike Huck­abee – 2%
Rick San­to­rum – 2%
John Thune – 2%
Jon Hunts­man – 1%
Haley Bar­bour – 1%

I will not (at this time) be able to move com­ments from one post to another, so please indulge me while I copy and paste them. I will iden­tify the author, but they’ll appear under my name for the time being.

Related Arti­cles

Palin in Comparison

1
2 years ago
by Michael Weiss in
Alaska's Sarah Palin, by RR

Image by NineInch­Na­chosIV via Flickr

Quin­nip­iac has a new poll out today. There are a few results that intrigued me:

  • Sarah Palin is the most pop­u­lar of Repub­li­can can­di­dates for Pres­i­dent, among Repub­li­cans polled.
  • Less-​​educated are more Palin-​​prone; more-​​educated peo­ple would rather have Romney.
  • Palin is the run­away favorite of evangelicals.
  • And yet, she would likely lose to Obama, unlike some other Repub­li­can candidates.
  • Repub­li­cans would vote for pretty much any­one as long as it’s not Obama.
  • Democ­rats would far pre­fer to keep Obama than to have another Demo­c­ra­tic can­di­date for Pres­i­dent in 2012.
  • Self-​​described mod­er­ates far pre­fer Obama to Palin.
  • Who are Tim Paw­lenty, John Thune, Mitch Daniels, and Haley Bar­bour? Most of those polled have no idea who these peo­ple are. Not a surprise.
  • Repub­li­cans have a favor­able view of the Repub­li­can Party, and Democ­rats have a favor­able view of the Demo­c­ra­tic Party. And each has unfa­vor­able views of the other.
  • The more edu­cated peo­ple are, the less they like either party.
  • Repub­li­cans like the Tea Party, Democrat’s don’t, and Inde­pen­dents are split.
  • Only 25% of Repub­li­cans con­sider them­selves to be Teapers. 13% of Democ­rats do as well. Those num­bers have been rel­a­tively steady since the spring.

Those are my obser­va­tions. What are yours?

Update: Young Real Poli­tiks has a related post that’s worth read­ing.

Mitt, Mitch, and Mama Grizzlies

0
2 years ago
by filistro in

It all hap­pened so fast, didn’t it? One day the Repub­li­can party was a sober group of guys in suits and ties, wear­ing pol­ished wingtips and taste­ful toupees. Now…it seems like prac­ti­cally overnight…those guys (now known as “the Estab­lish­ment’) are flanked by another group con­sist­ing of sev­en­teen guys in a clown car, wear­ing fright wigs, floppy shoes and polka dot pants, play­ing kazoos and spray­ing seltzer on the vot­ers. This group is called the “Tea Party.”

I’ve been so mes­mer­ized by this star­tling evo­lu­tion, I’ve failed until now to think what it por­tends for the  future. In the imme­di­ate future, of course, these dis­parate groups have to con­tend an elec­tion together, which is going to be fas­ci­nat­ing enough. But imme­di­ately after that, they need to start mount­ing a pres­i­den­tial run and think about field­ing a candidate.

Oh dear.

Which side will pro­duce that can­di­date, do you think? Just pon­der it for a moment. After a cam­paign filled with bright shiny objects like pro­fes­sional wrestling, threats of gun­fire, dark warn­ings about mas­tur­ba­tion, the great UN bicy­cle takeover, a bearded Ivy-​​leaguer who wres­tles griz­zly bears bare­handed,  and Rand Paul’s really weird perm… are Repub­li­can  vot­ers going to have any inter­est in a bland, safe Tim Paw­lenty, a clean-​​cut Mitch Daniels or  a slicked-​​back Mitt Rom­ney with his dole­ful talk about deficits and incen­tives? Aren’t they just going to crave more sex, drugs and rock’n’roll? Those things are all kind of addic­tive, you know. (Well, maybe not sex. Sorry Ms O’Donnell, I spoke with­out think­ing. I will try to con­trol myself in future.

No, after this col­or­ful, rowdy, rol­lick­ing cam­paign, I think the die is cast for the pres­i­den­tial run.. The GOP will not come from the board­room set. It will come from the clown car.

And who is the Chief of Clowns? Who is, in fact, the dri­ver of the clown car? Could it be… will it pos­si­bly turn out to be…

Yes, I’m really begin­ning to think it’s going to hap­pen. The Dem’s fond­est wet dream (oops, memo to self…check with Ms O’Donnell to find out if  erotic dreams are also for­bid­den…the left’s fond­est fan­tasy is turn­ing into a real­ity. We are going to get our dream candidate.

Be still my heart!   8-)

Go to Top