Posts tagged Newt Gingrich
The cuckoo does not build a nest or rear its own young. Instead it lays its eggs, one by one, in the nests of other, smaller birds. When the chicks hatch, the larger cuckoo chick immediately pushes the smaller babies out of the nest to their deaths and then benefits from the tireless efforts of the little parent birds who exhaust themselves, often to the point of their own death, by feeding the ravenous interloper until it has grown much bigger and stronger than they are.
This, in a rather sad way, is what has happened to the Tea Party. (more…)
What does the choice of Paul Ryan as Vice Presidential candidate mean for the campaign of Willard “Mitt” Romney?
A vice presidential running mate is often chosen for a number of reasons — to balance the ticket geographically or ideologically, to satisfy the demands of some branch of the president’s party, to attract a particular group of voters, to fill some perceived weakness in the Presidential candidate. Does Ryan bring any of this to the ticket?
Back in May, many commentators were noting Romney’s need and desire to avoid making the sorts of mistakes Senator John McCain made in his disastrous 2008 campaign. Among them was his choice of then Alaska Governor Sarah Palin as a running mate. At first glance, the choice of Ryan seems to have met the requirement to be unPalin. But how well does Ryan satisfy this?
In as far as the traditional reasons for choosing a Vice President — ticket balance, party demands, attracting voters, perceived weakness — Ryan is not the usual sort of choice. As regards what is perhaps the most vital need this time around — to not be Romney’s Palin — he fails miserably. (more…)
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is throwing in the towel, according to inside sources. The only surprise for most of us is that it took so long for him to see the writing on the wall.
Personally, I suspect he thought he had a chance to return as the only remaining NotRomney in the race. [Representative Ron Paul (R-Lake Jackson, TX) doesn’t really count, since he’s more of a Walrus than an Elephant.] But after throwing all of his chips in on Delaware, and still coming up with fewer than half the votes former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney received, even one as megalomaniacal as Newt could see that he has no hope.
And so we are officially down to two candidates: a RINO (wearing an Elephant suit) and a Walrus. But we already knew that we were down to one real candidate.
Sooooo…how ’bout them Veepstakes?
- Newt Gingrich ends presidential bid(wjla.com)
- Newt’s campaign over? Reports suggest Gingrich will drop out Tuesday (shortformblog.com)
We’re in a three-week hiatus with no primaries or caucuses, which probably accounts for the punditocracy focusing on the status of the horse — uh, make that elephant — race.
A sure sign that former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney has the nomination all but sewn up: Politico has turned to handicapping the Vice-Presidential slot. Politico’s Maggie Haberman feels former Office of Management and Budget director and current Senator Rob Portman (R-OH) is the favorite.
We at Logarchism like to look at Intrade numbers. As of Friday on Intrade, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) is the favorite with a 25 percent chance of securing the VP nomination, followed by New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (11 percent), Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell (nine percent), Portman (nine percent), Representative Paul Ryan (R-Janesville, WI) (nine percent), and New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez (eight percent).
Romney’s Intrade numbers are a virtually certain 96 percent, with none of the other candidates above one percent.
I don’t normally do tinfoil hat stuff (though I do owe you all a Kennedy assassination article). But some important information has recently come to my attention, and I need to share it.
We found out that the US government has discovered that the Chinese have been active on Mars. The government learned this because our Mars probes detected the Chinese equipment. The Chinese sent unmanned probes to the Red Planet — equipment which is powered by solar energy and producing oxygen from compounds in the soil, intended to create a habitable atmosphere on Mars. (more…)
Super Tuesday and the subsequent March 10 and 13 primaries and caucuses clarified one thing: it’s now a two-man race.
Past Stampeding Elephants articles, going back to last May, focused on the Republican field. In that first iteration, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney was in first place, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich in eighth, and Representative Ron Paul (R-Lake Jackson, TX) in ninth. Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) did not break the one percent threshold on Intrade to appear in our rankings until our January 5 article, when he debuted in third place.
Now, from an ever-changing field of nine candidates, only two remain, and that’s not a field. Instead, this new version of the series will focus on the delegate math, and the election prospects of Romney, NotRomney, and NotNotRomney, based on Real Clear Politics polling averages, Intrade odds, and head-to-head polling data with President Barack Obama.
Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney
Romney’s Real Clear Politics polling average this week dropped four points to 34 percent, but he still holds a five-point lead over Santorum. On Intrade, he’s holding at an 87 percent chance, unchanged from last week. He has 495 delegates, or 43 percent of the necessary total to clinch the nomination. (Delegate count estimates are from The New York Times via the Associated Press.) He loses to President Obama 48–44 in RCP polling averages for the last nine days.
Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA)
Santorum improved in both RCP weekly polling averages (29 percent, up three points) and on Intrade (five percent chance of securing the nomination, up one point). Still, a one-in-twenty chance is nothing to write home about. He has an estimated 252 delegates (22 percent of the needed total), or just about half of the number estimated for Romney. He loses to President Obama 50–42 in averaged polls.
As of late last night, Jeb Bush and Ron Paul are tied with just under two percent on Intrade. More about their chances after the cut.