Posts tagged Republican
Ever wonder whether there is a difference between extreme left-wing groups and extreme right-wing groups?
Back in early 2009, the Department of Homeland Security released two reports which had been in the works for some time. The first one, released in late January of that year, dealt with the threat posed to the nation by leftist groups. It was titled, “Leftwing Extremists Likely to Increase Use of Cyber Attacks over the Coming Decade.” You can download it here. It was released to little fanfare, and almost no notice was taken by the press, by politicians, or by, well, much of anyone.
In fact, there were two earlier DHS reports released on left-wing groups the previous year: “Plans to Target Transportation Infrastructure Surrounding Republican National Convention” was released in March of 2008, and “Ecoterrorism: Environmental and Animal-Rights Militants in the United States” from May of that year. These, too, went pretty much unnoticed.
The second report released in early 2009 described the threats posed by rightist groups in the United States. It was released in early April of 2009, under the title, “Rightwing Extremism: Current Economic and Political Climate Fueling Resurgence in Radicalization and Recruitment.” You can obtain it here. It resulted in a firestorm of complaint and objection from conservative pundits, bloggers, media channels, and politicians.
Why the difference in reception? (more…)
We’ve presented evidence before that the Republican Party is in deep trouble. Even the chair of the Republican National Committee (RNC), Reince Priebus, says so. Recapping the Growth and Opportunity Project findings that I reported on earlier, Priebus said:
There’s no one reason we lost. Our message was weak; our ground game was insufficient; we weren’t inclusive; we were behind in both data and digital; and our primary and debate process needed improvement. So, there’s no one solution. There’s a long list of them.
Or, as my father is fond of saying, “Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln, how did you like the play?” (more…)
In December, Republican Party Chair Reince “and repeat” Priebus embarked on a reëxamination of the party’s future. He commissioned an “autopsy” of the party’s electoral failings.
The report is formally called the Growth and Opportunity Project.
According to Politico’s Jonathan Martin and Maggie Haberman, the report has triggered the oft-avoided civil war the Republican Party has been fearing. (more…)
As Sun Tzu wrote in The Art of War, “If you know the enemy and know yourself you need not fear the results of a hundred battles.”
In the shellacking they took in the 1970s and 1980s, the Democratic Party and its electoral machinery were forced to go through a long, painful reassessment. Candidates McGovern, Carter, Mondale and Dukakis were complete disasters.
Carter won only because Nixon’s disgrace poisoned his party for a short time. President Carter was the most unpopular and ineffective President in a generation. Walter Mondale came across as the mid-level apparatchik he was, and Candidate Dukakis was carpet-bombed into submission by Lee Atwater. When Dukakis donned a helmet and attempted to take refuge in a tank, his fate was sealed.
With a stroke of luck named Perot and the timing of an economic crisis blamed on a Bush, the Party was re-invented as a loose collection of center-left soft liberals (DW-NOMINATE near –0.4). This is evident in the graph from the voteview.com blog, which I inserted after the jump. (more…)
Some recent discussions here at Logarchism led me to look at the overall history of the Republican Party in the United States. In particular, I’ve wondered whether we’re seeing a renaissance of the Grand Old Party, or a long slow decline. As is so often the case with these analyses, I didn’t enter with any preconceived notions beyond a gut feel.
There are, of course, many different mechanisms by which one can examine the relative strength of a political party. How many votes do their candidates receive in aggregate? How many votes do their Presidential candidates receive in the general elections? How many electoral votes do their Presidential candidates receive? How many years do they hold the House, Senate, and/or White House?
The Cook Partisan Voting Index seeks to apply one such metric, by taking the previous two consecutive Presidential elections and averaging the vote margin across the two.
In this particular case, I opted to start with the number of seats held in the House in any given year. There are two reasons I chose this route. First, the House is generally more sensitive to the shifts of political winds, by virtue of two-year terms. It is also more granularly representative of the nation as a whole, since there are 435 of them. Compare this to the mere 100 Senators (each with six-year terms), or the lone President.
And what did this view look like? Let’s examine the data together, and place them alongside history. (more…)
“If I had a world of my own,” said Lewis Carroll’s Mad Hatter, “everything would be nonsense.” It would seem House Republicans are taking this thought to heart, and using it as advice for the future of America. We may be on the verge of seeing an evolution of the Tea Party, from tricorn hats to Alice in Wonderland. It may be an intentional change.
Starting today, House Republicans will unveil the CR or “Continuing Resolution,” their threatened spending plans for the remainder of the fiscal year. After the economic debates of the 2012 campaign, one might think the priorities of the winning party would receive some consideration. Yet it doesn’t appear so. As details of Republicans plans leak out, we’re seeing a move even farther toward austerity and punitive spending cuts than anything envisioned in the Ryan budgets of past years.
The impending budget plan is so far afield, so divorced from reality, that it actually includes a ban on federal funding for the anti-poverty group Alliance of Community Organizations for Reform Now or ACORN — even though ACORN was disbanded three years ago, and hasn’t existed since 2010. (You can read the current proposal for the Continuing Resolution here. Check out page 221.)
That’s not the only bit of nonsense in this Republican plan. The bill includes fewer real discretionary dollars than were available to George W. Bush in FY 2008. This is more an ideological manifesto than a serious proposal.